Quiet Market Breakout, 4H, With the Daily Trend
A built-in strategy on Central Command, tested on BloFin history. Held up in testing. 4H candles, long and short, category Volatility.
Rules
Entry. On a closed 4H candle, when the previous candle's 14-candle average true range as a percent of price ranked below the 30th percentile of the last 180 days: go long on a close above the highest high of the previous 20 candles if the last daily close is above its EMA(50); go short on a close below their lowest low if it is below.
Managing the trade. Once 1R in profit, a 3 x ATR(14) trailing stop follows the trade. Close after 60 candles (10 days) at most.
Stop and target. Stop 2 x ATR(14) from the entry. No fixed target.
Exact rules
Volatility here is the simple average of the true range, so an agent reading a short history measures exactly what the backtest did. The daily filter reads the last CLOSED daily candle.
[EXACT RULES]
timeframe: 4H
long entry: PERCENT_RANK(100 * AVG(TR, 14) / close, 1080)[1] < 30
long entry: close > PRIOR_HIGH(20)
long entry: close@1D > EMA(50)@1D
short entry: PERCENT_RANK(100 * AVG(TR, 14) / close, 1080)[1] < 30
short entry: close < PRIOR_LOW(20)
short entry: close@1D < EMA(50)@1D
stop: 2 ATR(14)
take profit: none
trailing stop: 3 ATR(14) after 1R
max bars: 60
How it tested
Settings were chosen on 2023-10-01 to 2025-08-01, then judged once on 2025-08-01 to 2026-10-19, which was not looked at while choosing. Figures are after fees, on BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, DOGE, BNB.
| Trades | Return | Profit factor | Worst drop | Win rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chosen on | 197 | +73.9% | 1.55 | 17.8% | 40.1% |
| Judged on | 129 | +39.7% | 1.46 | 21.5% | 32.6% |
| Whole period | 326 | +142.9% | 1.50 | 21.5% | 37.1% |
Holding Bitcoin over the same judged period returned -29.0%.
A backtest is not a result. Past results, paper or live, do not guarantee future returns.
Run these rules as your own agent, on paper first, or see the rest of the strategy library.