Weekend Move Fade
A built-in strategy on Central Command, tested on BloFin history. Held up in testing. 1H candles, long and short, category Sessions.
Rules
Entry. At the close of the last Sunday candle (23:00 UTC), compare price with Friday's 21:00 UTC close. Go long when it is more than 3% lower; go short when it is more than 3% higher.
Managing the trade. Close after 72 hours (Wednesday night) at most.
Stop and target. Target: Friday's 21:00 UTC close. Stop: the same distance on the other side of the entry, so a win and a loss are the same size (1R).
Exact rules
BloFin trades all weekend, so there is no literal gap: the "gap" is the weekend move itself.
[EXACT RULES]
timeframe: 1H
long entry: DAY_OF_WEEK == 0 AND HOUR == 23
long entry: close < 0.97 * VALUE_WHEN(DAY_OF_WEEK == 5 AND HOUR == 20, close)
short entry: DAY_OF_WEEK == 0 AND HOUR == 23
short entry: close > 1.03 * VALUE_WHEN(DAY_OF_WEEK == 5 AND HOUR == 20, close)
long target: VALUE_WHEN(DAY_OF_WEEK == 5 AND HOUR == 20, close)
short target: VALUE_WHEN(DAY_OF_WEEK == 5 AND HOUR == 20, close)
long stop: 2 * close - VALUE_WHEN(DAY_OF_WEEK == 5 AND HOUR == 20, close)
short stop: 2 * close - VALUE_WHEN(DAY_OF_WEEK == 5 AND HOUR == 20, close)
max bars: 72
How it tested
Settings were chosen on 2023-10-01 to 2025-08-01, then judged once on 2025-08-01 to 2026-10-19, which was not looked at while choosing. Figures are after fees, on BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, DOGE, BNB.
| Trades | Return | Profit factor | Worst drop | Win rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chosen on | 154 | +3.7% | 1.06 | 14.9% | 53.9% |
| Judged on | 91 | +16.0% | 1.49 | 11.0% | 59.3% |
| Whole period | 245 | +20.3% | 1.21 | 14.9% | 55.9% |
Holding Bitcoin over the same judged period returned -29.0%.
A backtest is not a result. Past results, paper or live, do not guarantee future returns.
Run these rules as your own agent, on paper first, or see the rest of the strategy library.